The Quiet Return: Signs of TIDE’s Resurgence in SimDemocracy

By Florr • October 15, 2025 • Report

Content Note: This report references raids, doxxing, harassment, and extremist rhetoric connected to previous TIDE activity. Contextual links include the TIDE wiki page.

Lede: After a summer of raids, data exposure, and infiltration cycles, TIDE largely faded from public view. The declared ceasefire running from September seventeenth through November seventh promised a pause on operations. Yet subtle signs are appearing once again. New movements, returning figures, and the same rhetoric that preceded past escalations are reappearing. SimDemocracy may once again be facing the calm that comes before a storm.

Accuracy Note: The Lincoln Party has recently remanded itself to the "Wardens for Authority, Valor, and Enforcement" or W.A.V.E. However it will remain the Lincoln Party in this article as those parts were written before the name change.

Current Window
The Ceasefire That Does Not Feel Quiet

TIDE publicly announced a ceasefire lasting from September seventeenth through November seventh, pledging to halt raids and data leaks. While this period was expected to bring calm, signs of motion have returned. Small actions, minor testing of boundaries, and slow political reformation have all begun. Historically, TIDE has used such periods to reorganize its networks and prepare for the next phase of action. Silence in this context may be camouflage rather than peace.

“The mood feels identical to early spring when politics turned once more to chaos.”

Signal 1
Lincoln Party Rhetoric: Familiar Notes in a New Banner

A new movement known as the Lincoln Party, founded by a user called LegalEagle, has emerged. Although small in size, its message reflects older political tones used by TIDE during its earlier political phase. It calls for a return to tradition and opposes LGBTQ inclusion as part of that return. Member statements use language such as “Tradition means return to the old ways” and call for the destruction of opposing parties such as the Lemon Party. While the Lincoln Party identifies itself as independent, its similarities to early TIDE political discourse are clear and concerning.

Source excerpts from Lincoln Party member “Bapple” have been standardized for readability. Full statements are preserved in internal documentation.

Signal 2
Guava’s Return: Rehabilitation, Revision, or Re-Entry

One of the most worrying developments is the reappearance of Guava, a former TIDE officer tied to earlier infiltration and propaganda campaigns. His name alone brings back the memory of TIDE’s rise during the spring and summer when the organization’s structure and legal reach extended deep into SimDemocracy’s institutions.

Guava was first convicted under the Guarenteeing Equal Enforcement of the Terms of Service Act, also known as GEETSA (now repealed), after evidence linked him to TIDE’s intelligence branch and recruitment operations. The conviction was viewed as a major success for the Republic’s legal institutions, striking at one of TIDE’s core coordinators inside SimDemocracy.

In July, that victory began to unravel. Through procedural maneuvering orchestrated by Xi4, also known as _xxxiii4, Guava’s release was secured. Xi4, a TIDE agent later charged with terrorism association, exploited a loophole in GEETSA enforcement and leveraged judicial flexibility to obtain a retrial. That action resulted in Guava’s temporary freedom while legal disputes continued. The move represented not only a technical win for TIDE’s legal strategy but also a psychological one, showing that the group could still manipulate the very system that sought to suppress it.

Archived judicial records and analyst reviews confirm Xi4’s involvement in the appeal. Both Guava and Xi4 deny present coordination, yet neither has provided proof of separation.

For months afterward, Guava remained in custody while awaiting a final verdict. Recently, he was released again following an undisclosed agreement with the Attorney General’s office. Ferris could not be reached for comment. Sources within SimDemocracy’s legal community suggest this may have been a calculated exchange intended to de-escalate TIDE’s retaliation against state prosecutors. Instead, many see it as capitulation.

To the public, the decision raises one question: if Guava, once imprisoned under the Republic’s strictest counter-extremism law, can return without resolution, what barriers remain to prevent others from following him? Observers draw comparisons to early 2025 when former TIDE officials quietly reemerged under the cover of political organizations such as CSC 7 before the group’s largest wave of coordinated action. The pattern seems to repeat with chilling precision.

“Guava’s return does not close a chapter. It opens the next one.”

Guava has responded to accusations with deflection, stating, “Literal bs people keep saying I’m TIDE with no proof.” Yet, according to the TIDE wiki, plausible deniability is a core tactic of the organization. It allows returning figures to rebuild influence while remaining publicly detached. Whether Guava is rehabilitated or merely repositioned, his presence symbolizes a deeper failure to contain the ideology he once served.

GEETSA violations carry lifelong penalties. Guava’s exemption is unprecedented during an active TIDE ceasefire and has reignited debate about whether leniency can coexist with security.

Some legal experts frame the release as a triumph of due process. Others see it as a warning of fatigue among those charged with defending SimDemocracy. Within investigative circles, the dominant fear is that Guava’s freedom represents the beginning of a new phase in TIDE’s adaptation. Once again, the organization may be proving that it can shift from open conflict to legal and political manipulation with little resistance.

“It is not the loud return that signals danger. It is the quiet one.”

Pattern Memory
Before the Raids Came the Politics

The public record paints a concerning picture. The TIDE wiki page documents the group’s origins as the Traditionalist Values Defense Party, launched after a declaration calling for the removal of ROSE and its allies. Later, fronts such as CSC 7 rebranded its message as moderation while hiding its operational loyalty. The same record states, “Since then, TIDE has been linked to infiltration of political positions, targeted intelligence gathering, and the exposure of private information. Critics and analysts note its consistent anti-LGBTQ rhetoric and extremist leanings.”

The mid-year history offers the sharpest caution. Following intelligence collapses, TIDE rebuilt itself through embedded agents, encrypted communication, and renewed propaganda. That stage directly preceded the June and July wave of doxxing that defined the organization’s most visible period. It remains the central fear that this cycle may once again be starting, only this time under the cover of a ceasefire and legal ambiguity.

“Leadership remains hidden through deliberate confusion. The organization continues as a volatile threat.” — TIDE Wiki Summary

Signal 3
Quiet Activity During a Truce

Although no major raids have been reported, subtle movements are visible. Messages echoing earlier propaganda have returned. Minor accounts circulate ideological posts. Political fronts repeat language once used by TIDE media teams. During previous lulls, similar behavior was later identified as pre-operational groundwork. If history is a guide, the present silence should be treated not as peace but as preparation.

Risk Trajectory
What to Watch Between Now and November Seventh

Message Drift: Greater use of traditionalist framing that excludes LGBTQ participation and mirrors pre-raid TIDE themes.
Front Growth: Expansion of small parties or channels that reuse TIDE phrases while claiming neutrality.
New Accounts: Quiet entry of alternate users testing server moderation thresholds.
Rehabilitation Narratives: Former members reentering under claims of reform.
Information Gathering: Increased scraping of public logs and archives suggesting preparatory intelligence collection.

Why This Matters
Past Is Prologue

The TIDE wiki describes the organization’s survival through flexibility, plausible deniability, and calculated return. A weakened TIDE remains dangerous if it can plant narratives that outlast moderation. The fear is not of an immediate strike but of quiet preparation that rebuilds the conditions for one. Each returning figure, each echo of old rhetoric, is part of that slow restoration.

Lincoln Party excerpts and Guava’s public statements are drawn from open sources and preserved in verified archives. The GEETSA reference reflects public legal records. The cited wiki page remains the most comprehensive summary of TIDE’s history.

Community Guidance
Reduce Exposure and Verify Sources

Members of SimDemocracy should remain vigilant. Avoid public disclosure of private information. Report suspected recruitment efforts to local moderators. Treat unfamiliar channels that reference TIDE or “traditional restoration” with caution. Most of all, remember that TIDE’s reemergence has never announced itself loudly. It arrives through words, through subtle imitation, and through figures who claim to have changed while carrying the same purpose as before.

Sources and Further Reading

Traditionalist Insurgency for Defense and Enforcement (TIDE) — Miraheze Wiki
Lincoln Party communications (public archives)
Public statements by Guava and Xi4 (captured July through October records)
GEETSA filings and Attorney General case logs (public docket summary)

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